Indian stock index affected by elections around the country

By July 1, 2018 Economy No Comments
Indian stock index affected by elections around country

Indian stock index affected by elections around the country

In 2019 as the general elections are approaching and the state level elections going on all around the country, the stock market is affected by the same. Trading most of the time is done on speculation, anticipation of anything positive or negative happening around. Elections plays a big role in deciding the share market assumptions for the next few years.

In India, the BJP is seen as a market investor friendly government as its policies are widely oriented towards the freebies of government. There is a positive buzz around this government, which helps in bringing back the investor interest in stock market. Election impact the short and long term market movements both.

The outcome of the elections will turn to be the decision maker in the polices and hence influence the trading. The government that is chosen will decide the economic reforms. Experts predict the actual steps to be taken by the government starting with Budget and Tax Reforms that influence the share market. If the government elected is economy focused them it will yield good results for the market in the end. Many companies get the benefit of the increased projects in the infrastructure, transportation, health and other sectors that the government announces. The whole chain of economic activity gets a boost because of the elections results that includes trading market too.

Mainly the trading market is a game of sentiments and if the mood is positive and assured, even the bad news is ignored. Equity markets have been rising in recent time in anticipation of the elections. History informs us that Indian elections are far from predictable.  And hence wait and watch is the mantra the trading market is following as of now.

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KIFS Trade Capital

Annexure-I: Risk disclosures

RISK DISCLOSURES ON DERIVATIVES
  • • 9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.
  • • On an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to ₹ 50,000.
  • • Over and above the net trading losses incurred, loss makers expended an additional 28% of net trading losses as transaction costs.
  • • Those making net trading profits, incurred between 15% to 50% of such profits as transaction cost.

Source: SEBI study dated January 25, 2023 on “Analysis of Profit and Loss of Individual Traders dealing in equity Futures and Options (F&O) Segment”, wherein Aggregate Level findings are based on annual Profit/Loss incurred by individual traders in equity F&O during FY 2021-22.